Logistics

There is no doubt that the COVID-19 pandemic has had an impact on the vast majority of industries throughout the country; the freight industry is no different. Currently, carrier rates are skyrocketing, surpassing the all-time high for rate prices several times throughout the course of the year. As we enter peak freight season, now is the time for owner/operators to run hard in order to maximize revenue and take full advantage of a unique holiday season where spot rates are at record highs. Traditionally, owner/operators tend to work fewer hours when carrier rates are at their highest. With higher rates, drivers are able to reach their financial goals faster, using the extra time to catch up on rest or family time. A little downtime will always be a good thing, but this holiday season is shaping up to be different; rather than take time off, more and more owner/operators plan to run hard through the new year for multiple reasons.

Possible Country-Wide Shutdown

As COVID-19 infection numbers throughout the United States spike to global highs and the country prepares for a shift in leadership, the economic uncertainty in the air is palpable. The transition from President Trump to President-Elect Biden brings with it a new plan for combating the pandemic, which could mean another country-wide shut down. In November, the president-elect’s coronavirus advisors proposed a plan to shut the country down for four to six weeks at the start of the new year to combat the virus. Shutting down the country has a very real impact on the trucking industry, and owner/operators should understand the possible impact a shutdown could have on business and revenue streams.

Increased Wait Times for Pickup and Dropoff

While on the road, a driver’s livelihood depends on their ability to drop off one load and pick up another quickly and efficiently. Turnaround time for freight drivers makes the difference between a successful season and an unsuccessful one. During the first shut down, many truckers faced drastically increased wait times at pick-up locations due to social distancing measures and decreased on-site staff. For drivers, every hour is valuable and when they spend more time waiting they spend less time driving, or worse, less time resting—a tired driver is a dangerous driver. Ultimately, the increased time waiting leads to less time spent driving and loss of revenue. If another shutdown is on the horizon, owner/operators should use this peak season to prepare their finances to account for delayed travel times or anticipated time off if necessary.

Closed Towns and Changed Routes

These increased wait times weren’t even the worst problem many drivers faced. Many of the towns, businesses, and rest stops long-haul drivers rely on closed as well, leaving drivers with few, if any, options along their routes. Long-haul life can be daunting and dangerous, and with limited access to clean and safe rest stops and restrooms, a shutdown would severely impact a driver’s quality of life while on the road, forcing some to make the decision to avoid those routes completely. When drivers are forced to change their routes navigating unfamiliar routes can lead to increased time on the road, unsafe conditions, and even delays in shipments costing drivers valuable time and money in the long run.

Possible Increase in Industry Unemployment

In the event of a second shutdown, owner/operators should be financially prepared to take time off of work. The first shutdown led to record unemployment rates in the trucking industry, with 88,000 people losing their jobs in the month of April alone. The previous record was set in April 1994 when 49,000 people in the industry lost their jobs. While unemployment numbers have gone down, the industry still faces the very stark reality that a second shutdown could have comparable effects. Owner/operators should take this opportunity to build a nest egg for their families while rates are at their highest and opportunities are available—before the new year brings further uncertainty to the United States economy.

Record High Rates

Even if the country doesn’t enter a second shut down, freight rates will likely never reach today’s record prices again. In October 2020, dry van spot rates were 60 cents higher than in October of 2019—a 30% increase year over year. This rise in prices is only expected to continue through the holiday season as e-commerce sales soar, making this the perfect time to execute one last push before 2021 brings unpredictability and doubt. With the inevitability of either a second shutdown or prices returning to industry norms, owner/operators don’t want to miss out on the current gold rush happening in the industry.

Whether the country faces another lockdown or not, the rates are bound to return back to normal early in 2021. Many owner-operators understand the importance of the next few weeks to reaching their financial goals for the year. As we enter the high-demand holiday season, driver’s should run hard to maximize their annual revenue before the start of the new year.

COVID-19 changed just about every aspect of American society, including our work lives. Earlier this year, many offices and places of business transitioned to a remote work structure with a majority of employees working out of their homes. One of the results of this change is some people no longer have a daily commute. The initial lack of commuters on the road drastically impacted traffic patterns and the transportation industry as a whole. While traffic patterns are increasing again, the transition continues to impact truckers—who are now in higher demand. Keep reading to find out exactly how remote work impacts traffic patterns, demand, and the day-to-day lives of owners/operators.

Truckers Have the Roads to Themselves

While some U.S. cities are seeing lower traffic levels—a decrease by up to 63%—trucking continues to be steady. The pandemic increased trucking activity and boosted cargo volumes since the shift in March. For truckers, large chunks of time can be spent battling gruesome traffic, drastically lowering the productivity of the entire supply chain. In 2016, the American Transportation Research Institute determined an estimated $74.5 billion in excess operating costs could be blamed on heavy traffic. This impressive figure speaks to the extent to which traffic determines the effectiveness of the entire supply chain.

Peak traffic hours in the mornings and evenings can almost entirely be contributed to commuters. Without them, those hours don’t bring the same congestion. Trucking companies used to have to completely change their routes in order to avoid high traffic areas. Many companies even planned the locations of their facilities in order to avoid trucks having to cross through metropolitan hubs. With lighter traffic than usual in some areas, many truckers can now take more direct routes and get to their destinations much faster.

Less Traffic Equals Less Liability

Having fewer drivers on the road makes traveling safer for owners/operators. By having fewer cars on the road, there is a smaller margin of error when it comes to accidents and collisions. Busy roads and traffic have been linked to increased rates of reported low-speed accidents. A study conducted by the Department of Transportation in the state of Maryland confirmed a positive correlation in the frequency and severity of collisions in high congestion lanes. When there are more cars on the road, it adds an elevated level of unpredictability. When accidents do occur in heavy traffic, that collision is much more likely to reverberate and cause pile-ups.

Streamlining the Supply Chain

The work-from-home structure also necessitates additional supplies. Since people are in their homes all day, they’re using delivery services more frequently, thus boosting business for truckers. Because of this increase in demand, trucking companies are rapidly adapting to make it all work. As mentioned earlier, many owners/operators are trying to plan routes for more direct travel. Additionally, warehouse reconfiguration allows truckers to spend less time at inventory facilities, and more time getting everyone the supplies they need to thrive from home.

Getting Back to “Normal”

Studies by StreetLight Data note that traffic is returning to its previous levels, particularly in rural areas, at a quicker pace than originally expected. As more motorists return to their daily commute, truckers might see a return to pre-COVID conditions. Fortunately, the transportation industry as a whole has evolved during this period. Even after traffic picks back up, the industry has found new and creative solutions—such as redesigned routes, streamlined loading procedures, and overall supply chain optimization—to make the entire supply chain more efficient and profitable. Additionally, as the disruption continues, more and more people will remain in their homes, amplifying the demand.

While traffic may be starting to increase again, getting up to 90% of the pre-pandemic levels, most metropolitan areas are still reporting lower congestion rates. The advancements made during this new period will have ripple effects that remain far past this period of uncertainty.

Going forward, many companies are discovering that remote work is productive, and as everyone settles into working from home, it might remain that way. If working from home becomes the new standard, the benefits it’s had for the transportation industry can be further capitalized upon in the months, and possibly years, to come.

Mission Financial is your all-in-one resource for trucking financing and industry news. Check out our comprehensive blog for updates on the transportation industry.

The American economy took a serious hit in March, April, and May of this year, with unemployment spiking at nearly 15%. This percentage of people left without full employment in America was so large, you’d have to go back 80 years to find a comparable moment of economic strife. Much of the spike is attributed to the coronavirus pandemic, a serious public health crisis that required many industries to slow down or cease operations completely in order to prevent a widespread infection.

Luckily, there’s been good news on the job front. As of early July, unemployment decreased to 11%, indicating roughly 4.8 million people returned to work since the coronavirus pandemic began. This brings the rate of unemployment back in line with some more relatable markers in American history, not too long ago. The recessions of 1983 and 2009 both yielded unemployment rates of roughly 10%, which gives Americans who have lived through past economic downturns a small indication of how things might progress in America moving forward.

Employment in the Freight Industry

Trucking in America has gotten a lot of positive attention from the federal government from the very beginning of the pandemic. Truckers were declared essential workers by the White House with little delay. This kept owner/operators’ jobs secure, to some degree, but also created new challenges for workers in an industry becoming more isolated by the day—with truck stops and highway restaurants shutting down left and right due to the pandemic and necessary practice of social distancing.

The following months were a mixed bag for O/Os, with notable difficulties for freight owners and logistics companies. The American supply chain became severely lopsided overnight, with demand for medical supplies and food products spiking in urban areas, causing full truckloads to enter metropolitan areas at an increased rate, only to find there wasn’t anything to fill their trucks with on the way back out to a factory or distribution center (and we all know how fast you bleed money driving an empty semi-truck). This caused per-mile rates to be wildly inconsistent across different areas of the country, with some O/Os making money hand over fist, and others finding out they’d make more money if they chose not to drive at all.

Good News for Truckers As of July

We’re starting to see a steady rebound in trucking rates all across the country. According to data gathered by DAT Freight & Analytics, Los Angeles and Chicago have continued to improve, with substantial rate increases on nearby high-volume freight lanes.

Note: The rates listed below are averages from the beginning of June, based on actual transactions between carriers, brokers, and shippers.

• Chicago to Columbus, OH, rose 19 cents to $2.34 per mile
• Chicago to Detroit gained 15 cents to $2.78
• Chicago to Allentown, PA, was up 13 cents to $2.32
• Los Angeles to Denver jumped up another 25 cents to $3.09
• A. to Seattle climbed up to $2.74

In addition to this good news, there was another increase on the lane from Charlotte, North Carolina, to Buffalo, New York, where the average rate increased by 20 cents to $2.31 per mile.

Prices from Atlanta down into Florida are on the way up as well. Produce season is starting to end in the southern states, so demand has begun to shift away from outbound and back toward inbound traffic. The rate from Atlanta to Lakeland, Florida, was up to $2.41 per mile at the start of June as a result.

Overall, 72 out of the top 100 van lane rates have increased, while 16 others maintained their previous levels. This makes it a great time to be on the road, and gives O/Os good reason to watch rate changes with a sharp eye in order to maximize their route efficiency.

Trucking’s Long Term Trajectory

It’s no secret the freight industry has been seeing troubling signs for a couple years running. Class 8 sales have dipped, and even before COVID-19 there were prominent news outlets writing about the freight industry being in recession.

Press surrounding trucking can be a tricky subject. It’s true transport stocks haven’t been doing well for a long time. The SPDR S&P Transportation ETF is down more than 24% year to date as of June 9, an abysmal return when compared to the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average. This ETF is well-diversified, and a commonly used indicator for the health of the freight sector. The holding includes planes, trains, and auto companies. Uber Technologies (UBER) and Lyft (LYFT) are in the ETF now, along with the usual suspects, such as United Parcel Service (UPS), the Union Pacific railroad (UNP), trucking firm J.B. Hunt Transportation Service (JBHT), and JetBlue Airways (JBLU), among others.

While XTN is a good indicator of the transportation industry on the whole, it also includes a healthy percentage of some of the worst performers in 2020 like airlines and rideshare companies, both of which suffered monumental losses as a result of COVID-19.

The trucking industry on the whole hasn’t suffered the same level of constriction that airlines have, and the health of the industry isn’t well measured by the health of public companies. As a matter of fact, more than 95% of carriers have less than five trucks. The country is full of small, independent truck operators, and as long as rates increase, it’s expected they’ll come out just fine.

The bottom line is trucking companies are the lifeblood of America, and there’s no indication the demand for truckers is going to decrease any time soon. If you’re interested in getting started as an owner/operator, contact us at Mission Financial.